Georgia 'is going to head to a runoff'

Democratic strategist Cyrus Garrett, who ran point for Joe Biden’s 2020 presidential campaign in Georgia, has a wealth of knowledge on the purple Peach State and a bullshit-free approach that offers a clear-eyed sense of the state of play in both the governor and U.S. Senate races a month out.

I hope you’ll listen to every minute of this one — it’s worth it if you want to understand Georgia from a man who has worked its trenches and seen what was coming there before most everybody else.

Included in this #pod are Garrett’s thoughts on:

• the likelihood that Raphael Warnock or Herschel Walker gets to 50.1% of the vote on Nov. 8 to avoid an extended Senate runoff campaign

• why the Black male is the new swing voter

• where Stacey Abrams’ has failed to succeed as a candidate

• how Raphael Warnock is carving out a different message than most other Democrats

• the key difference between Georgia and Nevada this cycle

You can also listen to this episode on Spotify or Apple Podcasts. And if you like it, I’d appreciate you tossing Too Close To Call a star-filled rating.

And: If you become a *PAID subscriber* today, you’ll get a bonus POD with Cyrus’ analysis of the map beyond Georgia and a bold prediction about a particular Democrat and 2024.

Brittney Cooper @ProfessorCrunk

And now let me add an intersectional analysis to this thread: I clarified my numbers from last week. Stacey Abrams (from what I am told) is polling at only around 60% with Black men. 60%. That is an abysmal number. And one not befitting of her care and commitment to Black folks. https://t.co/BUJWhdP0wz

Brittney Cooper @ProfessorCrunk

When I see the walking stereotype of Black male mediocrity that is Herschel Walker, I am reminded that a significant swath of white folks need this to be who Black people are, who Black men are. Violent, idiotic, brute, immoral, deadbeats.