What happens if you lose Pennsylvania
A Grand Rapids-Philadelphia finale. 👋🏼 PLUS: My electoral map prediction 🇺🇸👇🏽
Donald Trump is ending his third run for the presidency with a late night rally in Grand Rapids, MICHIGAN, inside a county that he won narrowly in 2016 but Joe Biden flipped into the Democratic column in 2020.
It’s a place to keep your eye on *tomorrow night* 🫨
Republicans believe if they can cut the Democratic margin in Kent County, Mich. to 2% they can take back the state.
Kamala Harris spent the entire final day of the 2024 race blanketing the biggest battleground prize on the electoral map — PENNSYLVANIA — with stops in Allentown, Pittsburgh and ending in Philadelphia.
The city of Brotherly Love supplied 11% of the commonwealth’s voteshare in 2020. Right now it’s running about a percent *behind* that benchmark, making Democrats nervous that the Democratic bastion will fail to supply the votes necessary to overcome Trump’s outstate strength.
“Philly overall has been trending down, not in terms of going toward the Republicans, just people not getting out to vote,” remarked CNN’s Van Jones. “It’s a bigger, tougher fight in Philly to get that vote count up than it has been in the past. That has me worried.”
Democrats’ early vote lead in the Keystone State — which inched up to 412,000 ballots on Monday night — is a highly contested topic among operatives and observers who are divided over whether it’s a big enough lead to counter the Election Day batch, which is expected to favor Republicans.
Yes, early Democratic vote *is down* compared to 2020 — is that an indication of a lack of enthusiasm for Harris or is it simply a natural reversion to a pre-Covid world when more people waited to vote on Election Day?
Since 1948, no Democrat has captured the White House without winning Pennsylvania. But there’s an outside path for Harris if Philadelphia collapses and she Pennsylvania bleeds MAGA red.
It’s name is Georgia — and it’s a real alternative path. 🍑
⬇️
⬇️
⬇️
