Wake me up in June
Bad polling, step counting and female conversations. Sticky Things V.
STICKY THINGS Edition V— consumed material that’s stuck with me:
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THE FUTILITY OF EARLY PRESIDENTIAL POLLING: A year away from a general election, the average polling error in a presidential race has been a margin of 5% over the last few cycles, according to data complied by Split Ticket. Polling historically only becomes fairly predictive around June of the election year — Lakshya Jain AND Harrison Lavelle LINK
MIXED SOCIAL SETTINGS: In mixed-sex social settings, once the group size exceeds four, they tend to split off into single-sex groups. Women in such settings frequently initiate all-female conversations, as they find the typical male conversation style too confrontational and disconcerting. — Rob Henderson LINK